{"id":2339,"date":"2025-05-05T16:58:09","date_gmt":"2025-05-05T13:58:09","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/csnotes.ru\/?p=2339"},"modified":"2025-05-09T07:41:34","modified_gmt":"2025-05-09T04:41:34","slug":"%d0%bf%d0%be%d0%b4%d0%b3%d0%be%d1%82%d0%be%d0%b2%d0%ba%d0%b0-%d0%b4%d0%b0%d0%bd%d0%bd%d1%8b%d1%85-%d1%88%d0%b0%d0%b3-3-%d1%80%d0%b0%d0%b1%d0%be%d1%82%d0%b0-%d1%81-%d0%bf%d1%80%d0%b8%d0%b7%d0%bd","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/csnotes.ru\/?p=2339","title":{"rendered":"\u041f\u043e\u0434\u0433\u043e\u0442\u043e\u0432\u043a\u0430 \u0434\u0430\u043d\u043d\u044b\u0445. \u0428\u0430\u0433 3: \u0440\u0430\u0431\u043e\u0442\u0430 \u0441 \u043f\u0440\u0438\u0437\u043d\u0430\u043a\u043e\u043c \u0432\u0440\u0435\u043c\u0435\u043d\u0438"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u0427\u0430\u0441\u0442\u043e \u0432 \u0434\u0430\u043d\u043d\u044b\u0445 \u043e\u0434\u043d\u0438\u043c \u0438\u0437 \u043f\u0440\u0438\u0437\u043d\u0430\u043a\u043e\u0432 \u044f\u0432\u043b\u044f\u0435\u0442\u0441\u044f \u0432\u0440\u0435\u043c\u044f \u0441\u043e\u0431\u044b\u0442\u0438\u044f. \u042d\u0442\u043e \u043e\u0447\u0435\u043d\u044c \u0431\u043e\u0433\u0430\u0442\u044b\u0439 \u0438\u0441\u0442\u043e\u0447\u043d\u0438\u043a \u043d\u043e\u0432\u044b\u0445 \u043f\u0440\u0438\u0437\u043d\u0430\u043a\u043e\u0432 \u0438 \u0444\u0438\u0447.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u0420\u0430\u0431\u043e\u0442\u0430 \u0441 \u043f\u0440\u0438\u0437\u043d\u0430\u043a\u043e\u043c \u0432\u0440\u0435\u043c\u0435\u043d\u0438<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u0412\u0440\u0435\u043c\u044f \u0441 \u043d\u0430\u0447\u0430\u043b\u0430 \u043d\u0430\u0431\u043b\u044e\u0434\u0435\u043d\u0438\u0439<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u041f\u0440\u0435\u0436\u0434\u0435 \u0432\u0441\u0435\u0433\u043e, \u0440\u0435\u043a\u043e\u043c\u0435\u043d\u0434\u0443\u0435\u0442\u0441\u044f \u0441\u043e\u0437\u0434\u0430\u0442\u044c \u043d\u043e\u0432\u044b\u0439 \u043f\u0440\u0438\u0437\u043d\u0430\u043a &#8211; \u0432\u0440\u0435\u043c\u044f, \u043f\u0440\u043e\u0448\u0435\u0434\u0448\u0435\u0435 \u0441 \u043d\u0430\u0447\u0430\u043b\u0430 \u043d\u0430\u0431\u043b\u044e\u0434\u0435\u043d\u0438\u0439 (\u0442\u043e \u0435\u0441\u0442\u044c \u0441 \u043c\u0438\u043d\u0438\u043c\u0430\u043b\u044c\u043d\u043e\u0433\u043e \u0434\u043e\u0441\u0442\u0443\u043f\u043d\u043e\u0433\u043e \u043c\u043e\u043c\u0435\u043d\u0442\u0430 \u0432\u0440\u0435\u043c\u0435\u043d\u0438 \u0432 \u0434\u0430\u043d\u043d\u044b\u0445) \u0438\u043b\u0438 \u0441 \u043d\u0430\u0447\u0430\u043b\u0430 \u043a\u0430\u043a\u043e\u0433\u043e-\u043b\u0438\u0431\u043e \u0437\u043d\u0430\u0447\u0438\u043c\u043e\u0433\u043e \u043c\u043e\u043c\u0435\u043d\u0442\u0430 \u0432\u043e \u0432\u0440\u0435\u043c\u0435\u043d\u0438. \u0415\u0441\u043b\u0438 \u0432\u0440\u0435\u043c\u044f \u0438\u0437\u0432\u0435\u0441\u0442\u043d\u043e \u0441 \u0442\u043e\u0447\u043d\u043e\u0441\u0442\u044c\u044e \u0434\u043e \u0441\u0435\u043a\u0443\u043d\u0434, \u0441\u0442\u043e\u0438\u0442 \u043f\u0435\u0440\u0435\u0432\u0435\u0441\u0442\u0438 \u044d\u0442\u043e\u0442 \u043f\u0440\u0438\u0437\u043d\u0430\u043a \u0432 \u043a\u043e\u043b\u0438\u0447\u0435\u0441\u0442\u0432\u043e \u0441\u0435\u043a\u0443\u043d\u0434 \u0441 \u043c\u043e\u043c\u0435\u043d\u0442\u0430 \u043d\u0430\u0431\u043b\u044e\u0434\u0435\u043d\u0438\u0439.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u041f\u0440\u0438\u043c\u0435\u0440 \u043f\u0440\u0435\u043e\u0431\u0440\u0430\u0437\u043e\u0432\u0430\u043d\u0438\u044f \u0434\u0430\u043d\u043d\u044b\u0445 \u043e \u0432\u0440\u0435\u043c\u0435\u043d\u0438 \u0432 \u043a\u043e\u043b\u0438\u0447\u0435\u0441\u0442\u0432\u043e \u0434\u043d\u0435\u0439 \u043e\u0442 \u043d\u0430\u0447\u0430\u043b\u0430 \u043d\u0430\u0448\u0435\u0439 \u044d\u0440\u044b:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<pre class=\"wp-block-code\"><code>df&#91;'ts_ordinal'] = df&#91;'ts'].map(pd.Timestamp.toordinal)  # \u0432\u0435\u0440\u043d\u0435\u0442 \u0447\u0438\u0441\u043b\u0430 \u0432\u0438\u0434\u0430 738521<\/code><\/pre>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u0422\u0440\u0435\u043d\u0434<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u0422\u0440\u0435\u043d\u0434 &#8211; \u044d\u0442\u043e \u043e\u0431\u0449\u0430\u044f \u0434\u043e\u043b\u0433\u043e\u0432\u0440\u0435\u043c\u0435\u043d\u043d\u0430\u044f \u0442\u0435\u043d\u0434\u0435\u043d\u0446\u0438\u044f \u0432\u0440\u0435\u043c\u0435\u043d\u043d\u043e\u0433\u043e \u0440\u044f\u0434\u0430. \u041d\u0438\u0436\u0435 \u043f\u0440\u0435\u0434\u0441\u0442\u0430\u0432\u043b\u0435\u043d\u043e \u043d\u0435\u0441\u043a\u043e\u043b\u044c\u043a\u043e \u0432\u0430\u0440\u0438\u0430\u043d\u0442\u043e\u0432 \u0438\u0437\u0432\u043b\u0435\u0447\u0435\u043d\u0438\u044f \u0442\u0440\u0435\u043d\u0434\u0430.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u0414\u043b\u044f \u0441\u043e\u0437\u0434\u0430\u043d\u0438\u044f \u043f\u0440\u0438\u0437\u043d\u0430\u043a\u0430 \u0442\u0440\u0435\u043d\u0434\u0430 \u043c\u043e\u0436\u043d\u043e \u043f\u0440\u0438\u043c\u0435\u043d\u0438\u0442\u044c \u043b\u0438\u043d\u0435\u0439\u043d\u0443\u044e \u0440\u0435\u0433\u0440\u0435\u0441\u0441\u0438\u044e. \u0422\u0440\u0435\u043d\u0434 \u043c\u043e\u0436\u043d\u043e \u043f\u043e\u0441\u0442\u0440\u043e\u0438\u0442\u044c \u0434\u043b\u044f \u0438\u0437\u043c\u0435\u043d\u0435\u043d\u0438\u044f \u043a\u043e\u043d\u043a\u0440\u0435\u0442\u043d\u043e\u0433\u043e \u043f\u0440\u0438\u0437\u043d\u0430\u043a\u0430 \u0438\u043b\u0438 \u043d\u0435\u0441\u043a\u043e\u043b\u044c\u043a\u0438\u0445 \u0440\u0430\u0437\u043d\u044b\u0445 \u043f\u0440\u0438\u0437\u043d\u0430\u043a\u043e\u0432. \u0412 \u0438\u0442\u043e\u0433\u0435 \u043f\u043e\u043b\u0443\u0447\u0438\u043c \u0434\u043e\u043f\u043e\u043b\u043d\u0438\u0442\u0435\u043b\u044c\u043d\u044b\u0439 \u043f\u0440\u0438\u0437\u043d\u0430\u043a, \u0443\u0447\u0438\u0442\u044b\u0432\u0430\u044e\u0449\u0438\u0439 \u0442\u0435\u043d\u0434\u0435\u043d\u0446\u0438\u044e \u0438\u0437\u043c\u0435\u043d\u0435\u043d\u0438\u044f \u0434\u0430\u043d\u043d\u043e\u0433\u043e \u043f\u0440\u0438\u0437\u043d\u0430\u043a\u0430 \u0432\u043e \u0432\u0440\u0435\u043c\u0435\u043d\u0438.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<pre class=\"wp-block-code\"><code>X = df&#91;'ts']\ny = df&#91;'value']\n\nlr = LinearRegression()\nlr.fit(X, y)\n\ndf&#91;'trend'] = lr.predict(X)<\/code><\/pre>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u0421\u043a\u043e\u043b\u044c\u0437\u044f\u0449\u0435\u0435 \u0441\u0440\u0435\u0434\u043d\u0435\u0435<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u0415\u0449\u0435 \u043e\u0434\u0438\u043d \u0441\u043f\u043e\u0441\u043e\u0431 \u0441\u043e\u0437\u0434\u0430\u043d\u0438\u044f \u0434\u043e\u043f\u043e\u043b\u043d\u0438\u0442\u0435\u043b\u044c\u043d\u043e\u0433\u043e \u043f\u0440\u0438\u0437\u043d\u0430\u043a\u0430 \u0442\u0440\u0435\u043d\u0434\u0430.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<pre class=\"wp-block-code\"><code> # \u0432\u044b\u0447\u0438\u0441\u043b\u0435\u043d\u0438\u0435 \u0441\u0440\u0435\u0434\u043d\u0438\u0445 \u0437\u043d\u0430\u0447\u0435\u043d\u0438\u0439 \u0441 \u043e\u043a\u043d\u043e\u043c \u0432 7 \u0434\u043d\u0435\u0439\n\ndf&#91;'rolling'] = df&#91;'value'].rolling(window=7).mean()<\/code><\/pre>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u041f\u0440\u0438 \u0441\u043e\u0437\u0434\u0430\u043d\u0438\u0438 \u0441\u043a\u043e\u043b\u044c\u0437\u044f\u0449\u0435\u0433\u043e \u0441\u0440\u0435\u0434\u043d\u0435\u0433\u043e \u0442\u0435\u0440\u044f\u0435\u0442\u0441\u044f \u043d\u0435\u0441\u043a\u043e\u043b\u044c\u043a\u043e \u043f\u0435\u0440\u0432\u044b\u0445 \u0438 \u043f\u043e\u0441\u043b\u0435\u0434\u043d\u0438\u0445 \u0437\u043d\u0430\u0447\u0435\u043d\u0438\u0439!<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u042d\u043a\u0441\u043f\u043e\u043d\u0435\u043d\u0446\u0438\u0430\u043b\u044c\u043d\u043e\u0435 \u0441\u0433\u043b\u0430\u0436\u0438\u0432\u0430\u043d\u0438\u0435<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u041c\u043e\u0436\u0435\u0442 \u043e\u043a\u0430\u0437\u0430\u0442\u044c\u0441\u044f \u0431\u043e\u043b\u0435\u0435 \u043f\u043e\u0434\u0445\u043e\u0434\u044f\u0449\u0438\u043c \u0434\u043b\u044f \u0432\u044b\u044f\u0432\u043b\u0435\u043d\u0438\u044f \u0442\u0440\u0435\u043d\u0434\u0430 \u0432 \u0434\u0430\u043d\u043d\u044b\u0445, \u043f\u043e\u0434\u0432\u0435\u0440\u0436\u0435\u043d\u043d\u044b\u0445 \u0441\u0435\u0437\u043e\u043d\u043d\u044b\u043c \u0438\u0437\u043c\u0435\u043d\u0435\u043d\u0438\u044f\u043c.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<pre class=\"wp-block-code\"><code>df&#91;'exp'] = df&#91;'value'].ewm(span=7, adjust=False).mean()<\/code><\/pre>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u0414\u0435\u043a\u043e\u043c\u043f\u043e\u0437\u0438\u0446\u0438\u044f \u0432\u0440\u0435\u043c\u0435\u043d\u043d\u043e\u0433\u043e \u0440\u044f\u0434\u0430<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u041f\u043e\u0437\u0432\u043e\u043b\u044f\u0435\u0442 \u0432\u044b\u044f\u0432\u0438\u0442\u044c \u043d\u0435 \u0442\u043e\u043b\u044c\u043a\u043e \u0442\u0440\u0435\u043d\u0434, \u043d\u043e \u0438 \u0434\u0430\u043d\u043d\u044b\u0435 \u043e\u0431 \u043e\u0441\u0442\u0430\u0442\u043a\u0430\u0445 \u0438 \u0441\u0435\u0437\u043e\u043d\u043d\u043e\u0441\u0442\u0438.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<pre class=\"wp-block-code\"><code>from statsmodel.tsa.seasonal import seasonal_decompose\n\n# \u0414\u0435\u043a\u043e\u043c\u043f\u043e\u0437\u0438\u0446\u0438\u044f \u0432\u0440\u0435\u043c\u0435\u043d\u043d\u043e\u0433\u043e \u0440\u044f\u0434\u0430\nresult = seasonal_decompose(df&#91;'value'], model='additive', period=7)\n\n# \u0418\u0437\u0432\u043b\u0435\u0447\u0435\u043d\u0438\u0435 \u0442\u0440\u0435\u043d\u0434\u0430\ndf&#91;'dec_trend'] = result.trend<\/code><\/pre>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u0427\u0430\u0441\u0442\u043e \u0432 \u0434\u0430\u043d\u043d\u044b\u0445 \u043e\u0434\u043d\u0438\u043c \u0438\u0437 \u043f\u0440\u0438\u0437\u043d\u0430\u043a\u043e\u0432 \u044f\u0432\u043b\u044f\u0435\u0442\u0441\u044f \u0432\u0440\u0435\u043c\u044f \u0441\u043e\u0431\u044b\u0442\u0438\u044f. \u042d\u0442\u043e \u043e\u0447\u0435\u043d\u044c \u0431\u043e\u0433\u0430\u0442\u044b\u0439 \u0438\u0441\u0442\u043e\u0447\u043d\u0438\u043a \u043d\u043e\u0432\u044b\u0445 \u043f\u0440\u0438\u0437\u043d\u0430\u043a\u043e\u0432 \u0438 \u0444\u0438\u0447. \u0420\u0430\u0431\u043e\u0442\u0430 \u0441 \u043f\u0440\u0438\u0437\u043d\u0430\u043a\u043e\u043c \u0432\u0440\u0435\u043c\u0435\u043d\u0438 \u0412\u0440\u0435\u043c\u044f \u0441 \u043d\u0430\u0447\u0430\u043b\u0430 \u043d\u0430\u0431\u043b\u044e\u0434\u0435\u043d\u0438\u0439 \u041f\u0440\u0435\u0436\u0434\u0435 \u0432\u0441\u0435\u0433\u043e, \u0440\u0435\u043a\u043e\u043c\u0435\u043d\u0434\u0443\u0435\u0442\u0441\u044f \u0441\u043e\u0437\u0434\u0430\u0442\u044c \u043d\u043e\u0432\u044b\u0439 \u043f\u0440\u0438\u0437\u043d\u0430\u043a &#8211; \u0432\u0440\u0435\u043c\u044f, \u043f\u0440\u043e\u0448\u0435\u0434\u0448\u0435\u0435 \u0441 \u043d\u0430\u0447\u0430\u043b\u0430 \u043d\u0430\u0431\u043b\u044e\u0434\u0435\u043d\u0438\u0439 (\u0442\u043e \u0435\u0441\u0442\u044c \u0441 \u043c\u0438\u043d\u0438\u043c\u0430\u043b\u044c\u043d\u043e\u0433\u043e \u0434\u043e\u0441\u0442\u0443\u043f\u043d\u043e\u0433\u043e \u043c\u043e\u043c\u0435\u043d\u0442\u0430 \u0432\u0440\u0435\u043c\u0435\u043d\u0438 \u0432 \u0434\u0430\u043d\u043d\u044b\u0445) \u0438\u043b\u0438 \u0441 \u043d\u0430\u0447\u0430\u043b\u0430 \u043a\u0430\u043a\u043e\u0433\u043e-\u043b\u0438\u0431\u043e \u0437\u043d\u0430\u0447\u0438\u043c\u043e\u0433\u043e \u043c\u043e\u043c\u0435\u043d\u0442\u0430 \u0432\u043e \u0432\u0440\u0435\u043c\u0435\u043d\u0438. \u0415\u0441\u043b\u0438 [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[14,83],"class_list":["post-2339","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-ml","tag-feature-engineering","tag-83"],"views":112,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/csnotes.ru\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2339","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/csnotes.ru\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/csnotes.ru\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/csnotes.ru\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/csnotes.ru\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=2339"}],"version-history":[{"count":8,"href":"https:\/\/csnotes.ru\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2339\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":2355,"href":"https:\/\/csnotes.ru\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2339\/revisions\/2355"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/csnotes.ru\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=2339"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/csnotes.ru\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=2339"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/csnotes.ru\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=2339"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}